Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 773.191990 876.691734 993.879725 1137.424534 1309.928259 1512.372174 1770.634301
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 640.755157 777.066608 946.357765 1176.167862 1486.619297 1901.655258 2517.027265
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 554.426201 697.263775 883.934297 1152.713043 1542.153301 2107.260664 3033.688699
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 503.867884 654.047548 859.335120 1171.125926 1653.455528 2411.277452 3787.372874
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 468.915241 625.178782 847.156003 1200.438955 1780.184880 2761.267329 4730.317535
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 433.898856 591.242855 821.942875 1203.825083 1863.190630 3055.168668 5680.912130
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 398.725234 552.845875 784.647482 1180.890639 1894.745324 3260.539238 6530.560515
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 377.489993 532.918692 772.985145 1197.588985 1998.513852 3630.596667 7934.021190
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 348.641889 498.501032 734.385160 1161.981843 1996.246098 3778.901898 8848.423255
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 325.080903 470.378129 703.183389 1135.180769 2005.929657 3955.615538 9944.621316
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 303.751796 444.142695 672.650496 1105.623290 2004.469910 4105.974226 11055.658804
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 294.733128 437.120480 673.900324 1135.665908 2134.768016 4620.181543 13799.161799
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 282.574543 425.148564 667.468008 1154.297477 2254.441653 5181.231524 17442.763159
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 272.080739 415.327447 664.240246 1179.853045 2399.465196 5888.755372 22791.293561
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 256.762344 395.856193 641.274548 1160.632498 2429.624847 6258.385814 27014.595773
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 247.511009 386.255860 635.700714 1177.794078 2557.783129 7018.926003 35263.326284
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 240.559273 380.134865 636.007961 1207.800485 2728.673377 8034.814611 48458.252019
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 231.149570 368.868933 625.247025 1211.063018 2825.757420 8830.893685 62935.995307
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 219.736352 353.178518 604.408201 1187.992733 2840.118759 9294.023439 76057.118907
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 213.260686 346.194890 600.425396 1204.809733 2982.302008 10444.281536 106521.824782
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 202.185085 329.918818 576.214986 1168.922796 2947.912616 10716.289741 124544.029395
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 192.742911 316.228920 556.403206 1141.907827 2938.002622 11125.472098 150485.523598
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 183.707632 302.848853 536.343047 1112.118515 2913.081592 11449.912380 179463.047986